Ingeniería Mecánica
Permanent URI for this collectionhttp://repositorio.uta.edu.ec/handle/123456789/900
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Item Análisis técnico y económico de la descarbonización a largo plazo (2010-2050) del sector residencial del Ecuador, usando datos de los impulsores de demanda de energía a una alta resolución espacial y temporal(Universidad Técnica de Ambato. Facultad de Ingeniería Civil y Mecánica, Carrera de Ingeniería Mecánica, 2022-01) Copara Allauca, Dennis Mauricio; Pérez Salinas, Cristian FabíánThe purpose of this research was the technical and economic analysis of the longterm decarbonization (2010-2050) of the residential sector in Ecuador, by means of energy demand drivers at a temporal distribution by year (2010-2020) at a high spatial resolution of 1 square kilometer. The drivers were population density, gross domestic product (GDP) and human development index (HDI) of Ecuador. In this study, the method focused on an agent-based integrated assessment model (MBA) was applied. A survey of the residential sector related to energy consumption was used as an instrument to characterize the agents, while Geographic Information Systems (GIS) were used to calibrate the spatial data of the drivers of energy demand. The simulation method used is the Modular Energy Systems Simulation Environment (MUSE). Two types of results are presented: the first part focused on the spatial distribution data of population density, gross domestic product, human development index, gross domestic product per capita at a high spatial resolution of 1 square kilometer and annual temporal resolution from 2010 to 2020. In the second part, the results generated by the MUSE simulator were presented, showing: supply, demand, consumption, fuels, capital costs and emissions generated by space heating technology in homes in the residential sector, distributed in 5 income classes. Keywords: Decarbonization, simulation, MBA, GIS, MUSE.Item Cálculo de la distribución espacial y temporal del consumo de energía en el sector residencial del Ecuador entre 2010 y 2050 a una resolución de 1 km2 por hora usando sistemas geográficos de información(Universidad Técnica de Ambato. Facultad de Ingeniería Civil y Mecánica, Carrera de Ingeniería Mecánica, 2022-01) Borja Cáceres, Rodrigo Alexander; Pérez Salinas, Cristian FabiánThis research based on geographic information systems GIS aims to be a database source that relates climatic conditions, population density with energy demand in order to be used to optimize energy consumption at the national level, in addition of estimating energy demand for end-uses for decades to come. Through the temporal estimation that was carried out for each hour of each month and spatially for each square kilometer, the calculations were carried out that allowed identifying the energy demand for heating and ventilation of homes, water heating and lighting and electrical appliances. A summation of each generated raster was made to determine a National demand, in addition to which it was possible to determine hourly demand profiles, especially for the two Ecuadorian metropolises. For energy projections, the combination of populations and estimated consumption under SSP2 parameters was used, while for climate projections the RCP 8.5 scenario was used. The resulting data set for the years 2010, 2015, 2020, 2030,2 040 and 2050 is designed for use in: a new integrated assessment model called MUSE and in any analysis of energy end-use technologies in the residential sector.