Ingeniería Civil y Mecánica

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Author: search.filters.author.Copara Allauca, Dennis MauricioSubject: search.filters.subject.SIMULACIÓN

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    Análisis técnico y económico de la descarbonización a largo plazo (2010-2050) del sector residencial del Ecuador, usando datos de los impulsores de demanda de energía a una alta resolución espacial y temporal
    (Universidad Técnica de Ambato. Facultad de Ingeniería Civil y Mecánica, Carrera de Ingeniería Mecánica, 2022-01) Copara Allauca, Dennis Mauricio; Pérez Salinas, Cristian Fabíán
    The purpose of this research was the technical and economic analysis of the longterm decarbonization (2010-2050) of the residential sector in Ecuador, by means of energy demand drivers at a temporal distribution by year (2010-2020) at a high spatial resolution of 1 square kilometer. The drivers were population density, gross domestic product (GDP) and human development index (HDI) of Ecuador. In this study, the method focused on an agent-based integrated assessment model (MBA) was applied. A survey of the residential sector related to energy consumption was used as an instrument to characterize the agents, while Geographic Information Systems (GIS) were used to calibrate the spatial data of the drivers of energy demand. The simulation method used is the Modular Energy Systems Simulation Environment (MUSE). Two types of results are presented: the first part focused on the spatial distribution data of population density, gross domestic product, human development index, gross domestic product per capita at a high spatial resolution of 1 square kilometer and annual temporal resolution from 2010 to 2020. In the second part, the results generated by the MUSE simulator were presented, showing: supply, demand, consumption, fuels, capital costs and emissions generated by space heating technology in homes in the residential sector, distributed in 5 income classes. Keywords: Decarbonization, simulation, MBA, GIS, MUSE.