Análisis de los efectos en la disponibilidad de alimentos, mediante indicadores de seguridad alimentaria y la percepción de cambio climático de los agricultores de Mocha, Tisaleo y Píllaro

Abstract

Food security is a field of study that every day is part of the agendas of governments as part of meeting the food demands of the population. Likewise, it has been studied to understand the dimensions in which social welfare is fulfilled. However, one of the main causes that has caused negative indices of food security is climate change. However, in Ecuador there is no research that analyzes these effects in each area, creating uncertainty and concern due to the lack of information for an analysis of future consequences. That is why the purpose of this work seeks to analyze the perception of climate change of the producers of the Mocha, Tisaleo and Píllaro cantons and the effects on food availability. To determine these effects, availability indicators were used, related to the scenarios of climatic variation RCP 4.5 and 8.5, which were determined by the perception of the producers through an interview and later the data were processed statistically, giving us results of the possible consequences. In the future of climatic variation, the ELCSA instrument is finally applied and with the RASCH analysis to determine the availability and access to food. It is concluded that climate change drastically affected the producers of Mocha, Píllaro and Tisaleo, therefore, the food security of the producers and their families is in danger, affecting the first link of social welfare.