La implementación de las salvaguardias a las importaciones y su incidencia en la balanza comercial en el Ecuador durante el período 2014-2016

Abstract

In this research project, an analysis is made of the effect of the safeguard policy on imports in the automotive sector, through which the before and after is determined, in order to see if there is an impact of imports. A general analysis is carried out showing how trade relations have been affected due to the restriction policy. To identify the impact on imports we used the discontinuous regression method, in addition to a multiple regression model was found, that import restrictions have a negative impact on the automotive sector, globally speaking; while on the mounted brake linings the impact is positive. It can be attributed that between the years 2013 and 2014 the regulation was changed for the importation of the autoparts of the vehicles; this is due to the increase in import quotas. The negative impact observed in the automotive sector is due to other activities which negatively affected applied measures that were not beneficial to the sector.